Damoklos

Generated: 2026-06-07T18:43:04Z Source: v20 files Dashboard: v21 static export

Latest Thought

Paper-observation state refreshed

Simulated observation refreshed for B. BTC-capped rotation 30 and 60/40 QQQ/GLD monthly. B. BTC-capped rotation 30 remains under observation because v20 records higher full-period historical return. 60/40 QQQ/GLD monthly remains co-lead because v20 records stronger random-start robustness and simpler mechanics. This is descriptive research context with no action instruction.

Confidence: low | Risk note: high

B. BTC-capped rotation 30

Latest simulated equity: 6364.69
Simulated return %: 536.47
Current simulated exposure: XLE 51.39%; QQQ 48.61%; CASH 0.00%
Latest data date: 2026-06-05
Status label: normal_exposure
Max drawdown %: -27.95
Sharpe-like: 1.15
Estimated costs: 727.05

paper_observation_only, no_broker_integration, no_live_trading, full_period_return_may_be_period_dependent

60/40 QQQ/GLD monthly

Latest simulated equity: 4025.24
Simulated return %: 302.52
Current simulated exposure: GLD 40.24%; QQQ 59.76%; CASH 0.00%
Latest data date: 2026-06-05
Status label: paper_observation_static_allocation
Max drawdown %: -26.17
Sharpe-like: 1.4
Estimated costs: 21.5

paper_observation_only, no_broker_integration, no_live_trading, simple_challenger_not_approved

Leaderboard

Displayed exactly from the v20 leaderboard source.

candidate_name	latest_simulated_equity	latest_simulated_return_pct	full_period_return_pct	max_drawdown_pct	sharpe_like_metric	estimated_costs	simplicity_complexity_note	random_start_median_return_pct	random_start_percent_beating_qqq	status
B. BTC-capped rotation 30	6364.69	536.47	550.83	-27.95	1.15	727.05	Higher complexity: multi-asset rotation plus BTC cap logic.	102.85	47.19	normal_exposure
60/40 QQQ/GLD monthly	4025.24	302.52	312.93	-26.17	1.4	21.5	Lower complexity: fixed QQQ/GLD weights with monthly refresh cadence.	124.97	67.42	paper_observation_static_allocation

Equity Curve Snapshot

Simple static line view from v20 candidate equity curves.

Methodology Warnings

Historical profit is not expected forward profit.
Full-period return may be period-dependent.
Random-start and rolling-window evidence matter more than headline return.
Current observation is paper-only.
Costs, slippage, spreads, and feasibility are not fully proven in a live setting.
No friend capital / pooled capital.
No broker integration.
No live trading.
Paper observation is not live execution.
Costs/slippage/spreads/fills are not fully proven live.
No friend capital.